Impact of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy: An estimation of the macroeconomic and fiscal impacts of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy - ESCWA

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Impact of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy: An estimation of the macroeconomic and fiscal impacts of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy cover

ESCWA Publication: E/ESCWA/EDID/2017/TECHNICAL PAPER.2


Publication Type: Reports & studies

Cluster: Shared Economic Prosperity

Focus Area: Financing for development, Macroeconomics

SDGs: Goal 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

Keywords: Economic development, Fiscal policy, Libya, Macroeconomics, Tunisia

Impact of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy: An estimation of the macroeconomic and fiscal impacts of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy

January 2017

In this paper, three models are presented to  capture five different effects of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy: i) the impact of the presence of Libyans in Tunisia on aggregate demand; ii) the effect of the crisis on remittances of Tunisian workers in Libya; iii) the impact of the deteriorating business environment on private investments; iv) the consequences of domestic and regional security challenges on the tourism sector and v) the impact of the crisis on government security spending. The results of simulations present the macroeconomic and fiscal impacts of the Libyan crisis on Tunisia.

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