Modelling and Forecasting
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Western Asia: slow recovery expected in 2021 Deteriorating fiscal positions cloud recovery prospects, says new UN report
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Global economy faces rising financial, social and environmental challenges Hydrocarbon-reliance and geopolitical tensions weigh on growth in Western Asia
Beirut-New York, 21 January 2019 (... |
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An economic outlook for the Arab region by 2025 E/ESCWA/EDID/2017/TECHNICAL PAPER.4 In this report, ESCWA proposes an integrated outlook based on three economic levers set by economic theories and best practices. First the institutional capacity or the so-called newly... |
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Inflation Dynamics in the ESCWA Region: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis E/ESCWA/EDGD/2011/Technical paper.4 The findings of this study are intended to help advance the understanding of the causes of inflation in the ESCWA region. Understanding the causes of inflation is crucial, since the efficiency of... |
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Assessing the Impact of the Conflict on the Syrian Economy and Looking Beyond E/ESCWA/EDGD/2014/WP.2 The report adopts the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for simulation. The first section outlines a baseline scenario. The second section provides an assessment of the impact of early... |
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ESCWA Annual Report 2014 E/ESCWA/OES/2015/1 As the United Nations enters its seventieth year, the Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) embarks on its fifth decade of work in the Arab region. Our role at... |
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Estimates and Forecasts for GDP Growth in the ESCWA Region, 2006-2007 E/ESCWA/EAD/2007/Technical Material.2 ESCWA region has witnessed a period of robust economic growth in 2006 driven by a strong global economy, high oil prices, and a thriving financial performance. Better investment opportunities have... |
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Estimates and Forecasts for GDP Growth in the ESCWA Region, 2007-2008 E/ESCWA/EAD/2008/Technical Material.1 In 2007, the Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) region registered its fifth consecutive year of robust growth in the wake of a continuous increase in oil prices and a... |
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The Impacts of the International Financial and Economic Crisis on ESCWA Member Countries: Challenges and Opportunities E/ESCWA/EDGD/2009/Technical Paper.3 The unfolding international financial and economic crisis is undoubtedly a foundational historical event. The crisis has reverberated throughout the member countries of the Economic and Social... |
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Analysis of Performance and Assessment of Growth and Productivity in the ESCWA Region, Fifth Issue E/ESCWA/EAD/2007/5 The disappointing growth in the ESCWA region during the 1980s and 1990s was, in part, due to the failure to balance the decline in investment with an equivalent increase in human capital. The... |
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Analysis of Performances and Assessment of Growth and Productivity in the ESCWA Region, Fourth Issue E/ESCWA/EAD/2005/9 The weak performance of the ESCWA region is particularly noticeable when compared to the rapidly growing economies of countries in East Asia. The objective of this series is to develop policy... |
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Capacity building for the Ministry of Finance (MOF) in Tunisia on “Computable General Equilibrium modelling” In partnership with USAID and Chemonics, ESCWA organized a one week technical training for staff from the Ministry of Finance (MOF) in Tunisia within the scope “... |
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Modelling and Forecasting Informed policymaking rests in part on modelling and forecasting research, some of the results of which are included in the annual flagship publication, ... |
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Technical Committee, 4th The secretariat prepared the proposed organization of work for the fourth meeting of the Technical Committee, with the aim of facilitating consideration of agenda items within the time assigned... |
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Technical Committee, First Meeting . |
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World Economic Situation and Prospects 2015 On 19 January 2015, a press conference was held by ESCWA to launch the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2015 (WESP) report from the UN House in Beirut. WESP is produced at the beginning of... |
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Global Forecasts and Predictions for the ESCWA Region: The Roles of Investment and Public Expenditure in Economic Growth, Issue No. 2 E/ESCWA/EAD/2005/1 In an effort to reverse the unsatisfactory trend of development performance witnessed in the ESCWA region during the past two decades, it is necessary to identify the factors that contribute to... |
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Global Forecasts and Predictions for the ESCWA Region: Debt Investment and Endogenous Economic Growth in the ESCWA Region, Issue No. 3 E/ESCWA/EAD/2005/8 The gradual deterioration of national economies in the ESCWA region since the 1970s can be largely attributed to weak growth in development and prospects. This study defines the factors that have... |
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Regional Economic Forecast - 2009 E/ESCWA/EDGD/2009/Technical Paper.4 As the world economy indicated a recovery from recession throughout the second and third quarters of 2009, the economic sentiment of the ESCWA region has improved from pessimism to cautious... |
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Regional Economic Forecast - 2008 E/ESCWA/EDGD/2009/Technical Material.1 The expansion of world economy came to an abrupt halt in the fourth quarter of 2008.International money and capital markets froze. The credit turmoil continued with increasing uncertainties over... |
