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Macro-fiscal Modelling and Forecasting tool for Tunisia: user manual

ESCWA Publication: E/ESCWA/CL3.SEP/2025/Manual.2


Country: Republic of Tunisia

Publication Type: Information material

Cluster: Shared Economic Prosperity

Focus Area: Debt and fiscal policy, Macroeconomics

Initiatives: Debt Optimization to Enhance Fiscal Space, Social Expenditure Monitor for Arab States, Public finance and inclusive fiscal policy

SDGs: Goal 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

Keywords: Capacity building, Data modelling, Databases, Development finance, Economic forecasts, Fiscal policy, Macroeconomics, Manuals, Multivariate analysis, National accounts, Policy making, Public debt, Public expenditures, Simulation methods, Sustainable development, Technical cooperation, Tunisia

Macro-fiscal Modelling and Forecasting tool for Tunisia: user manual

January 2026

The present manual provides a comprehensive guide to better understand the structure and application of the Macro-Fiscal Modelling and Forecasting (MFMF) tool, developed by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) and the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) under a joint project for targeted member States. It presents equations of the underlying model, adapted from the United Nations World Economic Forecasting Model and customized for Tunisia.

This MFMF tool offers decision makers an accessible and dynamic interface for evaluating macroeconomic policy scenarios in a medium-term debt-to-GDP stabilization framework, supporting growth-enhancing social expenditures while maintaining macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability.

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Debt and fiscal policy, Macroeconomics
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